Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.348349 3.550639 3.765400 4.011522 4.287232 4.588289 4.944271
2024-10-20 2.996661 3.256634 3.545148 3.892490 4.304068 4.782530 5.390646
2024-10-27 2.710390 2.999108 3.330324 3.744601 4.258261 4.887872 5.741470
2024-11-03 2.592546 2.922272 3.313829 3.824137 4.489766 5.357801 6.632713
2024-11-10 2.515195 2.885327 3.339765 3.956814 4.805168 5.988941 7.898180
2024-11-17 2.361525 2.741360 3.218464 3.885252 4.837826 6.237451 8.673807
2024-11-24 2.217156 2.598575 3.086676 3.785447 4.817079 6.404135 9.372691
2024-12-01 2.106454 2.491623 2.993474 3.729166 4.851989 6.664456 10.336162
2024-12-08 2.013946 2.402477 2.917256 3.689035 4.905544 6.966717 11.515253
2024-12-15 1.964661 2.367505 2.912115 3.751441 5.129386 7.617840 13.820893
2024-12-22 1.856769 2.246945 2.778913 3.608451 4.994713 7.571310 14.383887
2024-12-29 1.808183 2.205217 2.755093 3.631700 5.147260 8.129188 17.062036
2025-01-05 1.720742 2.113005 2.663897 3.559811 5.158247 8.480833 19.848450
2025-01-12 1.637439 2.022566 2.569986 3.475939 5.138486 8.775881 23.050957
2025-01-19 1.553924 1.927888 2.464284 3.363903 5.051389 8.898611 25.954328
2025-01-26 1.522928 1.906982 2.468509 3.437612 5.345349 10.130595 39.818358
2025-02-02 1.503178 1.901145 2.495309 3.554041 5.758413 11.993823 82.821639
2025-02-09 1.447987 1.839868 2.430706 3.499694 5.787727 12.683322 140.604015
2025-02-16 1.391915 1.774732 2.356141 3.420234 5.746570 13.122824 262.414553
2025-02-23 1.347046 1.724540 2.302863 3.375992 5.783514 13.927130 1696.752982
2025-03-02 1.307892 1.681306 2.258424 3.344521 5.847725 14.937849 NaN
2025-03-09 1.287351 1.665558 2.258209 3.398876 6.146461 17.452843 NaN
2025-03-16 1.237117 1.601867 2.174435 3.279633 5.957189 17.167240 NaN